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Lesotho Likely To Present Minimal Government Sanction Roles To Moderately Increase Over The Next Five Years

Executive Summary:

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After a near coup in the late 1990s, significant political reforms enhanced the potential for non-state actors (NSA) to exert their influence to affect desired ends; however, economic woes, escalating crime rates, an increasing food deficit, and the world's third largest AIDS/HIV prevalence anchor the ability of NSA to bring about effective change. For these reasons NSA are likely to currently maintainModerate_Inc.jpg only minimal roles in Lesotho. This is consistent with its score of 2 on the Government-Sanctioned side of the role potential spectrum. With privatization efforts, increasing activity by labor unions, and historical precedence for social change, the role of NSA is likely to moderately increase over the next five years.


Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 8.5

Discussion:



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Overall Score

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Democracy Var.

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Doing Bus. Var.

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Corruption Var.

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Failed States Var.

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Geo Dis- NGOs

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Geo Dis- Bus.

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Geo Dis- Ter Grps.